The 2021-2022 Champions League
Semi Finals
Round of 16 + Quarter Finals
Here we predicted Liverpool as the eventual winner.
Week 6
Week 5
Week 4
Week 3
Week 2
Week 1
Truly evaluating the relative merit of football teams through statistical magnificence.
We found the arbitrary point systems of many sports league to be entirely unfounded. Three points to a victor? Why? Just track who beat whom, and use Bayesian inference!
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Here we predicted Liverpool as the eventual winner.
One million Monte Carlo samples were bootstrapped to yield mean powers
for Manchester City and Chelsea of 0.122 and 0.119, respectively, at 99% confidence with error margins limited to even lower digits.
Hence, Manchester City was the true victor of the 2020-2021 Champions League.
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